Introduction
The photon-induced nuclear fission (PNF) reaction of a heavy nucleus is a process in which high-energy photons interact with the nucleus, splitting it into two or more lighter hot fragments, followed by their decay processes that release neutrons, gamma rays, and energy [1, 2]. The mechanism of PNF differs from other particle-induced nuclear fissions because only an electromagnetic interaction exists between the photon and the nucleus [3-5], which can transfer a clear angular momentum and directly affect the distribution of the fission products, providing a clean probe for further research and understanding of the nuclear structure and nuclear reaction mechanism. The PNF process has important scientific and applied significance in many fields, such as nuclear physics research, energy development, nuclear medicine, and nuclear astrophysics [6, 7]. The PNF reaction also allows for a unique study the interaction between the macroscopic and microscopic degrees of freedom in the nucleus. At low excitation energies, the reaction mechanism is strongly influenced by the nuclear structure and the shell effect. The pairing effect plays an important role in the mass and nuclear charge distributions of fission fragments [8-10]. However, experimental data can only indirectly explain the influence of nuclear structure on the fission process. Additional data on PNF reactions are important for improving our understanding of this process [11, 12].
Machine learning technology is an algorithm for analyzing large amounts of data and uncovering patterns in complex high-dimensional data. By constructing sophisticated computational models, the nonlinear relationships inherent in the data can be effectively captured [13-15]. The Bayesian Neural Network (BNN) method uses Bayesian statistical methods to handle neural network models. Its core principle lies in assigning a prior probability distribution to the model parameters, and then updating this prior through Bayes’ theorem using observed data to obtain the posterior distribution of the parameters. Machine learning technologies have shown high quality in the prediction and analysis of atomic nuclear mass [16-19], nuclear physics [20, 21], photoneutron reactions [22], residual nuclides cross sections in nuclear spallation [23-25] and projectile fragmentation [26-30] reactions. New theories based on machine learning have also been developed to describe the fissile mechanism of heavy nuclides [31-33], such as extrapolating the nuclear mass, neutron-induced nuclear fission fragment yield, various nuclear structures, and observed quantities of reactions [34, 35]. Existing fission data are often incomplete and subject to large uncertainties. No study has yet applied Bayesian neural networks or similar frameworks to systematically predict both the charge and mass yields of photofission fragments across the entire thorium isotopic chain. Owing to the difficulties in describing fragment production in PNF reactions, BNN technology was systematically applied to construct models to evaluate and predict the fragment yields in PNF reactions of thorium isotopes for the first time. This was done to meet the requirements of their important applications in modern nuclear reactors, nuclear medicine, and nuclear structures, as well as to evaluate the incomplete charge and mass distributions of the fragments. The excitation functions of the fragments of interest were also investigated.
The remainder of this paper is organized as follows: In Sect. 2, the method for building BNN models is described. In Sect. 3, the BNN evaluation of the total element yield and the mass chain yield of the PNF fragments are presented. A summary is provided in Sect. 4.
BNN Models
The BNN can avoid the overfitting problem automatically by incorporating prior distributions, quantifying uncertainties in its predictions, and assessing correlations among model parameters [14, 21]. To construct a BNN model to reproduce and predict the cross section of fragments, the first step starts from the prior distribution of the model parameters by observing the given sample data _2026_07/1001-8042-2026-07-130/alternativeImage/1001-8042-2026-07-130-M001.png)
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Two independent BNN models were constructed to predict the yields of two different PNF fragment distributions: one for the charge yields (called BNN-CY) of PNF of thorium isotopes (216~232Th) and another for the mass yields (called BNN-MY) of PNF fragments for 232Th at different γ incident energies. All calculations in this study adopted a 105 sampling iteration of the BNN, and uncertainty quantification was presented with 80% confidence intervals (CI). The optimal number of neurons in each layer was determined by systematically varying the number of neurons per layer and comparing the corresponding standard deviations _2026_07/1001-8042-2026-07-130/alternativeImage/1001-8042-2026-07-130-M006.png)
Results and discussion
The fission mechanism of Actinide elements
It is important to review the basic phenomena of the fragment yield distribution discovered in experiments before discussing the predicted results of the BNN models to better understand the evaluation of the fragment yields by BNN in γ-induced thorium fission reactions. In this subsection, we list the main experiments and their conclusions. The phenomenological Brosa model [36, 37], which is based on the mass distribution of fission products, postulates the existence of two asymmetric fission modes. The origin of these distinct asymmetric fission modes is attributable to the influence of fission barriers. The Brosa model further describes the broadening of fission observables through stochastic neck rupture, where longer necks correspond to a broader distribution. With the advancement of experimental research, three primary fission modes have been proposed for the nearly stable actinide region: two mass asymmetric modes, standard I (ST1) and standard II (ST2), and a superlong symmetric mode (SL) [38-40].
ST1 is predominantly governed by doubly magic shell closure around 132Sn, resulting in a nearly spherical heavy fragment.
ST2 is characterized by the stabilization of the heavy fragment near Zf = 54.
SL exhibits a symmetric mass split, forming two fragments with comparable masses, both undergoing significant deformation.
Schmidt et al. [40, 41] investigated fission reactions of 70 short-lived radioactive isotopes in 2000, using the secondary beam facility at GSI Darmstadt. The primary beam of 1A GeV 238U was irradiated on a beryllium target. The mass and charge of the produced fragments were analyzed using a Fragment Separator (FRS). These products were utilized as a secondary beam, which was excited by electromagnetic interaction with the secondary lead target, leading to fission of the nucleus within an excitation energy range of approximately 11 MeV, primarily by the giant dipole resonance. This study provides the first experimental characterization of the transition from asymmetric fission in actinides to symmetric fission in pre-actinides at the atomic level. Chatillon et al. [42] conducted a similar experiment at GSI in 2019, employing the R3B/SOFIA (Reactions with Relativistic Radioactive Beams/Studies on FIssion with Aladin) setup [43-45]. The mass and nuclear charge of the fission fragments were measured in coincidence with the total prompt neutron multiplicity, which provides evidence for the existence of a new compact symmetric fission mode in the light Th isotopic chain [46]. Based on the predictions of the BNN, a detailed discussion of the photofission mechanism of the Th isotopes is presented in Sect. 3.2 and Sect. 3.3.
Total element yield of fission products
The BNN-CY model was constructed to predict the PNF fragment charge yields based on learning the experimental charge yield data in the EXFOR database, including 1437 experimental data points from the PNF products of 14 nuclides (217~230Th). All measured data were obtained from Refs. [40, 42]. The input dataset of BNN-CY consists of
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Generally, a double-layer network significantly enhances the learning performance of data points owing to its larger number of connection parameters compared to a single-layer network, even when both have the same number of neurons. To verify this and better describe the odd-even effect in the reaction system, we conducted a more detailed comparison of the evaluation results of single-layer neural networks with odd-even parameters and those of double-layer neural networks with odd-even parameters. In particular, a single-layer network with 30 neurons and a double-layer network with 15–15 neurons were compared, with iterations of the BNN-CY sampling carried out 105. For both single-layer and double-layer networks, the standard deviations
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Figure 3 presents a comparison between the results of the BNN-CY evaluation and the experimental charge yield data for the PNF fragments of the targets 217~229Th at an average excitation energy of 11 MeV, as reported by Schmidt et al. [40]. The BNN-CY results were in good agreement with the experimental data obtained. Notably, neural networks incorporating odd-even parameters successfully reproduced the characteristic odd-even staggering in the charge distribution of the reaction system. Furthermore, these calculations accurately captured the transition from asymmetric to symmetric fission in the PNF mechanism across the thorium isotopic chains. The number of peaks in the fission fragment charge distribution evolves with increasing neutron number of the target nuclei: single-peak distributions for neutron-deficient thorium targets transition through triple-peak patterns in intermediate-mass thorium nuclei, eventually becoming double-peak distributions for heavier thorium isotope targets. This systematic evolution demonstrates the strong dependence of the fission mechanisms on the number of neutrons along the Th isotopic chain. The experimental data on the charge yield of 221~230Th fission fragments at an average excitation energy of approximately 14 MeV, obtained by Chatillon et al. [42] are shown in Fig. 4 to exhibit a similar phenomenon.
The results predicted by the double-layer network with the smallest
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Mass chain yield distribution
The BNN-CY prediction in Sect. 3.2 indicates that the fission mechanism of 232Th will be dominated by asymmetric fission. In this section, to explore the energy dependence of the mass yield distribution of fission fragments, the BNN-MY model was constructed based on learning experimental mass yield data in the EXFOR database, which includes 771 data points within an energy range of 8 ~ 80 MeV for the PNF products of 232Th [47-54]. The mass yields of the fission fragments of 232Th were measured by Naik et al. [49-54] using the activation method. To avoid systematic inconsistencies between different experimental datasets, which could lead to artificially widened confidence intervals in the model, we selected data exclusively from the same group (Naik et al.) for the training set, while using data from other groups for validation. The charge distribution exhibited a pronounced odd-even effect, which appeared to be obscured in the mass distribution. Consequently, there is no need to introduce the δ parameters as input corrections for the mass yield data. The network consists of a set of input variables
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Figure 7 presents the BNN evaluation for regions with sparse experimental data points. In the mass region Af < 90, experimental measurements are particularly scarce, demonstrating that the trained BNN model can predict the physical behaviors in regions where experimental data are currently scarce or inaccessible. The results show that the fission yield exhibits a monotonic increase with energy in the valley region (fragment mass number Af ≈ 100 ~ 130), whereas the twin peaks corresponding to the asymmetric fission modes diminish in prominence. In Fig. 8, Af = 91 and 140 were selected for BNN prediction because the fragments with these mass numbers were respectively located in the light peak region and the heavy peak region of the asymmetric fission mode of 232Th, and their yields were relatively high. Most importantly, these two fragments have sufficient experimental data that can be compared with the BNN prediction results. In general, the fragment yield of Af=91, 140 representing asymmetric fission increases gradually within the incident γ energy range of 5 ~ 40 MeV. However, when the γ energy exceeds 40 MeV, the yield decreases significantly rather than continuing to increase. In 2010, Demekhina et al. [38] compared the PNF fragment mass yields of 232Th at γ energies of 50 and 3500 MeV. They observed that symmetric fission dominated as the energy increased, and its contribution increased by almost an order of magnitude. Moreover, owing to the additional emission of neutrons from the fission nucleus at higher excitation energies, the mass numbers of the fission fragments decrease, leading to a leftward shift in the mass-yield distribution. Figure 9 displays the mass yield distributions evaluated by BNN-MY of 232Th PNF fragments at incident γ energies of 8, 25, and 80 MeV. It can be seen that the yield of symmetric fission (Af = 100 ~ 130) increases with energy. In contrast, the contributions of the light fragment peak (Af = 80 ~ 100) and heavy fragment peak (Af = 130 ~ 150) decrease progressively, which represents the symmetric fission mechanism. This suggests that with an increase in the excitation energy of the nucleus, particle evaporation (predominant neutron emission) occurs from the excited nucleus, which opens a new decay channel leading to the formation of neutron-deficient fission fragments (primarily through symmetric fission) [55, 56]. However, no obvious phenomenon of the light-fragment peak moving towards a lower mass number was observed. This indicates that the PNF mechanism of 232Th changes with the incident γ energy. In the low-energy region, the PNF mechanism of 232Th mainly involves asymmetric fission, whereas in the high-energy region, it involves symmetric fission. Figure 10 shows the predictive capability of BNN-MY using a test set that excludes the PNF fragment mass yield data of 232 at the γ energies of 7.64 MeV and 17.5 MeV. A comparison between the predicted results and experimental measurements [57, 58] shows that BNN-MY can effectively predict the mass yields of PNF fragments for unstudied reactions, and the trained model successfully reproduces the results reported by other groups.
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Summary
Nuclear fission is an extremely complex non-equilibrium quantum many-body dynamical process, and gaining deeper insights into fission remains a well-recognized challenge in nuclear physics. There remains a strong motivation to study nuclear fission, driven by expanding nuclear applications such as energy production and rare isotope generation, as well as in fundamental physics domains, including superheavy element synthesis and constraints on the r-process. This study presents the relationship between the yield and mass number of the target nucleus and the yield-energy correlation of the fission fragments of interest, which allows for an energy-dependent, two-dimensional distribution of the fission yields. The results reasonably reflect the evolution of the fission modes with increasing energy.
In the fission nuclei of lighter-mass regions, the charge yields of the PNF fragments tend to be symmetric. In the heavier-mass regions, the charge yields began to exhibit asymmetric components that gradually dominated, most notably in the isotopes of Th and Pa. The number of protons in the PNF fragments directly carries information about the scission. Experimentally, it has been observed that the production of PNF fragments with even proton numbers is typically enhanced, which is one of the most prominent features of fission fragment yields. To describe the odd-even effect in the reaction system, we added an additional input δ = ± 0.1 in the BNN-CY learning collection to represent the number of atoms in even and odd fragments, respectively. The uncertainty decreases after adding the odd-even effect, reflected in the PNF fragments charge distribution of the BNN-CY model, and also showed a regular transition from symmetric fission of the lighter Th isotopes to asymmetric fission of the heavier Th isotopes. The fission mechanism of the fissile nuclei evolves with the excitation energy of the reaction system. The mass distribution of PNF fragments predicted by the BNN-MY model indicates that asymmetric fission prevails at low excitation energies, whereas symmetric fission is the dominant mode at higher excitation energies. For 232Th, asymmetric fission dominated at incident γ energies below 40 MeV, whereas the contribution of symmetric fission gradually increased at energies above 40 MeV. Furthermore, no leftward shift in the fragment mass distribution was observed within the γ energy range of several tens of MeV.
The BNN is a powerful and reliable tool for predicting the photofission fragment yields. It has successfully revealed the evolution of fission mechanisms and the associated odd-even effects, providing critical theoretical support for nuclear databases and reactor design. Currently, numerous facilities have begun to conduct research on PNF reactions, such as the High Intensity γ-ray Source (HIγS) [59-61], GSI [43, 62], and the Extreme Light Infrastructure Nuclear Physics (ELI-NP) [63-65]. Building upon the theoretical work presented in this study, future photofission experiments could be conducted using laser Compton scattering (LCS) γ rays at the Shanghai Laser Electron Gamma Source (SLEGS) at the Shanghai Synchrotron Radiation Facility (SSRF), which provides monoenergetic γ beams from 0.25 to 21.7 MeV [66, 67].
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