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Predictions of complete fusion cross-sections of 6,7Li, 9Be, and 10B using a Bayesian neural network method

NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND INTERDISCIPLINARY RESEARCH

Predictions of complete fusion cross-sections of 6,7Li, 9Be, and 10B using a Bayesian neural network method

Kai-Xuan Cheng
Rong-Xing He
Chun-Yuan Qiao
Chun-Wang Ma
Nuclear Science and TechniquesVol.36, No.10Article number 194Published in print Oct 2025Available online 31 Jul 2025
13202

A machine learning approach based on Bayesian neural networks was developed to predict the complete fusion cross-sections of weakly bound nuclei. This method was trained and validated using 475 experimental data points from 39 reaction systems induced by 6,7Li, 9Be, and 10B. The constructed Bayesian neural network demonstrated a high degree of accuracy in evaluating complete fusion cross-sections. By comparing the predicted cross-sections with those obtained from a single-barrier penetration model, the suppression effect of 6,7Li and 9Be with a stable nucleus was systematically analyzed. In the cases of 6Li and 7Li, less suppression was predicted for relatively light mass targets than for heavy mass targets, and a notably distinct dependence relationship was identified, suggesting that the predominant breakup mechanisms might change in different mass target regions. In addition, minimum suppression factors were predicted to occur near target nuclei with neutron-closed shell.

Fusion reactionWeakly bound nucleiMachine learningBayesian neural network
1

Introduction

Advancements in beam quality and detection technology in the latest generation of radiation nuclear beam facilities have brought the study of reaction mechanisms induced by weakly bound nuclei in the Coulomb barrier energy region to the forefront of nuclear physics research [1, 2]. In contrast to the fusion processes involving strongly bound nuclei, the mechanisms triggered by weakly bound nuclei are complex because of their lower binding energies. This complexity is mainly exemplified by the extended nuclear matter distribution and breakup effect [3, 4]. The former, a static effect, results in a reduction in the average fusion barrier height, consequently enhancing the fusion cross-sections. The dynamic breakup of the projectile can diminish the flux of direct fusion reactions, leading to three distinct processes: (1) Sequential complete fusion (SCF), where all fragments resulting from the breakup fuse with the target; (2) incomplete fusion (ICF), where only some of the breakup fragments are absorbed by the target; and (3) no capture breakup (NCBU), where none of the breakup fragments are captured by the target. The reaction process, in which the entire projectile without breakup is captured by the target, is termed direct complete fusion (DCF). However, from an experimental perspective, differentiating between the fusion yields of SCF and DCF is challenging. As a result, only complete fusion (CF) cross-sections, including both DCF and SCF cross-sections, can be measured.

Over the last few decades, numerous experimental [5-8] and theoretical [9-11] studies have been conducted on fusion reactions involving weakly bound nuclei. The main objective of these studies was to investigate the influence of breakup on fusion reactions near the Coulomb barrier [12-14]. One of the most widely adopted approaches is to compare data with predictions from a single-barrier penetration model [15, 16] or a coupled channel model without breakup channels [17-19]. It has been demonstrated that the CF cross-sections are suppressed at energies near and above the Coulomb barrier [20, 21]. Thus far, the dependence of the suppression effect on the breakup threshold energy of the projectile has been revealed, and an empirical relationship between the suppression factors and threshold energies has been reported [22]. However, suppression phenomena with various target nuclei remain unexplained [14, 23] and no systematic behavior of the CF suppression factors has been observed in the relatively heavy-mass target region [1]. For light- and medium-mass targets, the behavior of the suppression factor has not been fully established because of the experimental difficulty in distinguishing residues from ICF and CF. Therefore, we extended a machine learning method to fusion reactions induced by weakly bound projectiles and analyzed the systematic behavior of suppression factors across various mass target regions.

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), one of the commonly used machine learning methods, have been applied to various problems in nuclear physics, such as predicting atomic nuclear mass [24, 25], nuclear charge radii [26, 27], nuclear β-decay half-life [28], nuclear fission yields [29-31], spallation reactions [32-34], fragmentation reactions [35-37], and neutron nuclear reactions [38]. In this study, based on 475 experimental data points from 39 reaction systems induced by 6,7Li, 9Be, and 10B, a BNN was constructed to evaluate the CF cross-sections of weakly bound nuclei for the first time. A systematic analysis of the suppression effect at energies above the Coulomb barrier was also conducted. The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Sect. 2, the main characteristics of the proposed BNN method are briefly described. Prediction results are presented in Sect. 3. Section 4 presents a summary.

2

Model Descriptions

As a prominent machine learning technology, BNNs are highly effective for constructing novel models based on existing data. BNNs, which comprise a specific number of input units, hidden units of several layers, and output units, are capable of delivering high-quality predictions [39, 40]. This section presents a simple description of the BNN methodology. More detailed information can be found in [32, 35] and citations therein.

Bayesian learning sets the prior distribution of the model, p(ω), through the network parameter ω before observing any data, and updates the prior distribution to the posterior distribution p(ω|D) by observing the experimental data D(xin,yjn), p(ω|D)=p(D|ω)p(ω)p(D)p(D|ω)p(ω), (1) where the prior distribution is a Gaussian distribution with zero mean derived from the initial knowledge of the model. In the observed data D(xin,yjn), the outputs yjn correspond to the inputs xin, where n,i,j are the number of data points, inputs, and outputs, respectively. The normalization function, p(D), which ensures the posterior distribution in the effective probability density, is obtained through model assumptions with a prior integral, p(D)=p(D|ω)p(ω)dω. (2) The likelihood function, p(D|w), is based on the Gaussian distribution of the objective function, χ2, which fits the data using the least-squares method, p(D|ω)=exp(χ2/2), (3) χ2=i=1N[yjnfkn(xin;ω)Δyjn]2. (4) Here, Δyjn denotes the Gaussian noise corresponding to the n-th observation. A feedforward neural network is used for BNNs. This network typically includes a set of input variables, several hidden layers, and one or more output variables. A typical network function that connects outputs yjn to inputs xin through a hidden layer is fkn(xin;ω)=ak+j=1Nbjktanh(cj+i=1Idijxin), (5) where N and I are the numbers of hidden units and inputs, respectively; (dij,cj) and (bjk,ak) are the weights and biases of the hidden and output layers, respectively. The hidden unit values are obtained by a weighted summation of the input values acting on a hyperbolic tangent activation function (tanh), and the outputs fkn(xin;ω) are obtained by a weighted summation of the hidden unit values and biases. The predicted distribution of the output yjn+1 corresponding to the new input xin+1 is obtained from the posterior distribution as p(yjn+1|xin+1,D)=p(yjn+1|xin+1,ω)p(ω|D)dω. (6) To calculate the output data of the model, the Markov-chain Monte Carlo method is used to solve the high-dimensional integral yjn+1=1Kk=1Kfkn(xin+1;ωk), (7) where K denotes the number of iterations. The uncertainty of the predictions is obtained by Δyj=yj2yj2 because the model parameters are described using a probability distribution.

In this study, the dataset comprised the measured CF cross-sections in 39 reactions induced by 6,7Li, 9Be, and 10B, giving rise to 475 data points, as detailed in Table 1 [41-68]. Within this dataset, the incident energy of the reactions ranges from 0.67Vb to 2.06Vb, where Vb is the Coulomb barrier energy obtained from Akyüz-Winther nuclear potential and point-sphere Coulomb potential. The mass and charge of the target nuclei fall within the ranges of 64 ≤ At 209 and 2852, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, Zt 83, respectively. For model development, 380 data points (80% of all data) were randomly selected to form the training set, facilitating neural network learning and parameter optimization. The remaining 20% served as the test set to evaluate the prediction capabilities of the network. The input layer contains five parameters, {Zp,Ap,Zt,At,Ecm}, where Zp and Ap represent the proton and mass numbers of the projectiles, respectively, and Zt and At correspond to those of the targets. The parameter Ecm denotes the center-of-mass energy in MeV. The output parameter is the CF cross-section, denoted as σexp. Extensive efforts have been devoted to constructing hidden units by exploring single- and double-layer configurations. A double layer with 16 +16 neural units was ultimately verified as the most effective.

Table 1
The 39 fusion systems induced by weakly bound projectile nuclei 6,7Li, 9Be and 10B
Reaction Ecm/VB Nexp FBNN Fexp Ref. Reaction Ecm/VB Nexp FBNN Fexp Ref.
6Li+64Ni 0.85-2.06 15 0.87 0.88 [41] 7Li+159Tb 1.07-1.66 5 0.71 0.73 [57]
6Li+90Zr 0.82-1.65 8 0.67 0.7 [17] 7Li+165Ho 0.86-1.69 10 0.79 0.74 [15]
6Li+94Zr 0.89-1.68 5 0.52 0.49 [7] 7Li+197Au 0.81-1.50 8 0.84 0.86 [50]
6Li+96Zr 0.90-1.58 7 0.77 0.77 [42] 7Li+198Pt 0.79-1.52 6 0.72 0.77 [58]
6Li+120Sn 0.74-1.32 13 0.78 0.81 [43, 44] 7Li+205Tl 0.82-1.31 10 0.77 0.74 [59]
6Li+124Sn 0.83-1.70 15 0.72 0.66 [45] 7Li+209Bi 0.83-1.67 21 0.75 0.77 [53]
6Li+144Sm 0.79-1.58 11 0.55 0.54 [46] 9Be+89Y 0.83-1.39 15 0.78 0.75 [60]
6Li+152Sm 0.80-1.60 20 0.63 0.62 [47] 9Be+93Nb 0.85-1.45 7 0.85 0.90 [61]
6Li+154Sm 1.04-1.45 6 0.64 0.71 [48] 9Be+124Sn 0.90-1.33 13 0.73 0.75 [62]
6Li+159Tb 0.87-1.50 13 0.65 0.66 [49] 9Be+144Sm 0.89-1.31 10 0.92 0.94 [63]
6Li+197Au 0.84-1.35 16 0.61 0.60 [50] 9Be+169Tm 0.93-1.33 12 0.78 0.80 [64]
6Li+198Pt 0.67-1.14 10 0.75 0.75 [51] 9Be+181Ta 0.94-1.34 13 0.66 0.68 [65]
6Li+208Pb 0.92-1.28 20 0.67 0.69 [52] 9Be+186W 1.08-1.40 4 0.59 0.57 [66]
6Li+209Bi 0.83-1.53 14 0.65 0.68 [53] 9Be+187Re 0.93-1.28 12 0.75 0.76 [64]
7Li+64Ni 0.87-2.06 16 0.90 0.90 [54] 9Be+197Au 0.83-1.17 12 0.78 0.70 [67]
7Li+93Nb 1.29-1.63 4 0.75 0.75 [55] 9Be+208Pb 0.88-1.24 16 0.78 0.79 [53]
7Li+119Sn 0.72-1.30 15 0.93 0.94 [43, 44] 9Be+209Bi 0.88-1.21 19 0.98 0.98 [52]
7Li+124Sn 0.79-1.86 23 0.71 0.73 [56] 10B+159Tb 0.91-1.66 16 0.87 0.87 [57]
7Li+144Sm 0.88-1.59 14 0.63 0.63 [18] 10B+209Bi 1.06-1.44 5 0.88 0.89 [68]
7Li+152Sm 0.81-1.61 16 0.66 0.69 [18]            
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The symbols Ecm and Vb denote the center-of-mass energy and Coulomb barrier energy, respectively. Nexp represents the numbers of experimental CF cross-section. FBNN and Fexp denote the suppression factors calculated by Ep. (8). The last column provides the corresponding reference where the measured cross-sections were taken from.
3

Results and Discussion

To verify the evaluation capacity of the BNN model, we performed a comparison between the predicted CF cross-sections and the experimental data, as depicted in Fig. 1. A logarithmic scale in Fig. 1(a) and a linear scale in Fig. 1(b) were adopted to compare the details of the cross-sections at sub-barrier and above-barrier energies, respectively. Taking the 6Li + 159Tb, 7Li + 209Bi, 9Be + 89Y, and 10B + 159Tb systems from the dataset as examples, the predicted results were in good agreement with the experimental CF cross-sections, both at sub-barrier and above-barrier energies. Furthermore, for the reaction system 8Li + 208Pb [69], which was not included in the dataset, the BNN model provided results consistent with the experimental data.

Fig. 1
(Color online) Comparison of the CF cross-sections obtained from the BNN model (solid lines) with experimental data (solid symbols) for 6Li + 159Tb, 7Li + 209Bi, 9Be + 89Y, 10Be + 159Tb, and 8Li + 208Pb systems. The logarithmic and linear scales are shown in (a) and (b), respectively. The arrows indicate the corresponding Coulomb barrier energies. Note that the energies for 7Li + 209Bi and 8Li + 208Pb are shifted by 1.1 and 1.6, respectively
pic

To further investigate the effects of the breakup channel on the fusion of weakly bound systems, a systematic analysis of the suppression factors of CF cross-sections at above-barrier energies is presented below. The suppression factors were obtained by fitting the CF cross-sections obtained from the BNN model or the experimental data using FBNN=σBNNσBPMorFexp=σexpσBPM, (8) where σBNN and σexp are the predicted and measured cross-sections, respectively, and σBPM denotes the cross-sections calculated using a single-barrier potential model. The suppression factors calculated using the predicted CF cross-sections and experimental data are listed in the fourth and fifth columns of Table 1. Overall, the predictions of the BNN model represent the experimental suppression factors well. A detailed relationship between the suppression factor and mass number of the target nucleus At for 6Li and 7Li is shown in Fig. 2(a), and the corresponding results for 9Be and 10B are shown in Fig. 2(b). These target nuclei were mainly located in the relatively heavy-mass region and no obvious dependence behavior was observed. In Fig. 2(a), it is evident that the suppression factor of 7Li is larger than that of 6Li for the same mass target nuclei, which is attributed to the higher breakup threshold energies of 7Li [22].

Fig. 2
(Color online) Suppression factors obtained from the BNN model (open symbols) and experimental data (full symbols) for fusion systems listed in Table 1. The reaction systems induced by 6Li, 7Li, 9Be, and 10B are represented by circles, triangles, squares, and stars, respectively. The horizontal dashed lines are the eye-guidance reference lines
pic

Next, we extended this BNN model to various mass regions of the target nucleus, including relatively light- and medium-mass targets. The CF cross-sections of 6,7Li and 9Be with the target nuclei along β stability line were predicted. The calculated suppression factors versus neutron, proton, and mass numbers of the targets are shown in Fig. 3. A surprising conclusion is that there is no suppression effect in the vicinity of At = 110 targets for 6,7Li and 9Be, and At = 180 targets for 6,7Li. This was derived from the overall trend of the available experimental data; further experimental CF cross-sections are necessary to verify this conclusion.

Fig. 3
(Color online) Relationship between the suppression factors and the neutron (a), proton (b), and mass (c) numbers of the target nuclei for projectile nuclei 6Li (orange circles), 7Li (blue triangles), and 9Be (red stars). The symbols denote the mean suppression factor whereas the dashed error bars indicate the distribution range. The black symbols denote the corresponding experimental suppression factors. The magic numbers are located by the vertical dotted lines. The solid lines guide the eye. (See the text for more details.)
pic

In Fig. 3, the solid symbols denote the mean suppression factors derived from the targets with identical neutron (a), proton (b), and mass (c) numbers. Dashed error bars indicate corresponding distribution ranges. Taking lead isotopes as an example, the predicted suppression factors of the BNN model for 7Li + 204,206,207,208Pb were 0.78, 0.77, 0.76, and 0.75, respectively. The mean suppression factor (0.765), upper limit of the error bar (0.78), and lower limit of the error bar (0.75) are located at Zt = 82 in Fig. 3(b). Consequently, the range of error bars indicates the dependence of the suppression effect on the isotone, isotope, and isobar target nuclei. The small error bars of 6Li and 7Li suggest weak dependence, whereas the suppression factors of 9Be exhibit strong dependence. Owing to this sensitivity to the number of nucleons in the target nucleus, there is a pronounced fluctuation in various target nuclei for 9Be. This makes it difficult to identify a systematic trend for 9Be.

For 6Li and 7Li, the consistent behavior of the mean suppression factor suggests that they possess a similar breakup mechanism, and the minimum values of the suppression factor occur near the target nuclei with a neutron-closed shell. Within the relatively light mass target region (60At90), the suppression factors for 6Li and 7Li remain around 0.8 and 0.9, respectively, which is significantly less suppression than that observed for heavy targets (120At160). Moreover, the systematic behaviors in different mass target regions are markedly distinct. For light-mass targets, the suppression factor varies with the target nucleus mass number, initially increasing and then decreasing. By contrast, in the heavy-mass target region, the suppression factor initially decreases and then increases. This indicates that there is a competitive process in the breakup mechanism and that the primary breakup channel may differ across various mass target regions. Owing to the limitations of machine learning and the complexity of the breakup processes, it is challenging to provide a specific physical mechanism. More experimental and theoretical research is required to verify these conclusions and provide more explanations for the underlying breakup mechanism.

4

Summary

In this study, we investigated the complete fusion reactions of weakly bound nuclei using machine learning methods. A BNN was constructed based on 475 existing experimental complete fusion data points induced by 6,7Li, 9Be, and 10B. This model characterizes five input parameters (projectile and target information, and colliding energy), double hidden layers (16 + 16 neural units), and one output parameter (CF cross-section). The CF cross-sections predicted by this model exhibited excellent agreement with the experimental data, demonstrating the high-quality predictive capabilities of the model.

The suppression factors, defined as the ratio of the CF cross-sections predicted by BNN model to those calculated by a single-barrier penetration model at above-barrier energies, were systematically analyzed for weakly bound projectiles 6,7Li and 9Be with the target nuclei along the β stability line. The dependence behavior of the suppression effect was predicted across various mass-target regions, particularly for relatively light-mass targets. For 9Be, the suppression factors exhibited a marked sensitivity to the target nucleus, and no apparent systematic behavior was observed in either the heavy- or light-mass target regions. For 6Li and 7Li, the BNN model predicted less suppression in relatively light-mass targets compared to that observed for heavy-mass targets. Furthermore, the dependence in the light-mass target region was exactly opposite to that in the heavy-mass target region. These conclusions require further experimental and theoretical validation, as well as mechanistic explanations.

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Footnote

Chun-Wang Ma is an editorial board member for Nuclear Science and Techniques and was not involved in the editorial review, or the decision to publish this article. All authors declare that there are no competing interests.